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Saturday, April 18, 2020 | History

3 edition of Uncertainty and environmental decision making found in the catalog.

Uncertainty and environmental decision making

a handbook of research and best practice

by Jerzy A. Filar

  • 326 Want to read
  • 37 Currently reading

Published by Springer in New York .
Written in English

    Subjects:
  • Decision making,
  • Environmental management,
  • Environmental policy,
  • Environmental protection

  • Edition Notes

    Includes bibliographical references and index.

    StatementJerzey A. Filar, Alain Haurie, editors
    SeriesInternational series in operations research and management science
    Classifications
    LC ClassificationsGE300 .U53 2010
    The Physical Object
    Paginationxix, 338 p. :
    Number of Pages338
    ID Numbers
    Open LibraryOL24790898M
    ISBN 109781441911285, 9781441911292
    LC Control Number2009940575

    Given the novelty and inherent applicability of this decision making framework to the environmental field, there is a need for more teaching tools for MCDA. In particular, there is a need for a case study based approach to help readers navigate the many MCDA methods and . In this article we will discuss about Managerial Decision-Making Environment: 1. Concept of Decision-Making Environment 2. Decision-Making Environment under Uncertainty 3. Certainty Equivalents. The starting point of decision theory is the dis­tinction among three different states of nature or de­cision environments: certainty, risk and.


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Uncertainty and environmental decision making by Jerzy A. Filar Download PDF EPUB FB2

Uncertainty and Environmental Decision Making: A Handbook of Research and Best Practice presents the state of the art in applying operations research and management science (OR/MS) techniques to a broad range of environmental decision making (EDM) challenges.

Drawing on leading researchers in the field, it provides a guided tour of selected methods and tools to help deal with issues as climate. Uncertainties, both qualitative and quantitative, in the data and analyses on which these decisions are based enter into the process at each step.

As a result, the informed identification and use of the uncertainties inherent in the process is an essential feature of environmental decision making. The subject of this volume--uncertainties in risk assessment and management--reflects an important theme in health, safety, and environ­ mental decision making.

MOst Uncertainty and environmental decision making book hazards are characterized by substantial uncertainty. Recent examples include nuclear waste disposal, acid rain,Brand: Springer US.

Get this from a library. Uncertainty and the environment: implications for decision making and environmental policy. [Richard A Young] -- "This book is concerned with the need to deal adequately with uncertainty in environmental decision making.

The author advances a critique of the use of traditional models and then develops an. “The book, Modeling Uncertainty in the Earth Sciences, can be of great use for anyone involved with making decisions in Earth sciences. It gives a solid overview on how decisions in Earth Science can be improved by explicit uncertainty modeling.” (Environmental Earth Science, 1 October )Cited by: The subject of this volume--uncertainties in risk assessment and management--reflects an important theme in health, safety, and environ­ mental decision making.

MOst technological hazards are characterized by substantial uncertainty. The paradigm continued to develop over the years and is now widely used in the agency, as summarized in the EPA report, Framework for Human Health Risk Assessment to Inform Decision Making.

2 Thus, the Green Book was met with the expectation that it would have immediate effects on EPA’s risk-management decisions by applying a new. This book is concerned with the need to deal adequately with uncertainty in environmental decision making.

The author advances a critique of the use of traditional models and then develops an alternative model of decision making under uncertainty, based on the work of George by: Environmental decision-making Chapter Eight Uncertainty, risk and the precautionary principle Introduction Uncertainty, which may be both scientifically and socially based, is an inherent.

This thought provoking book is concerned with the need to deal adequately with uncertainty in environmental decision making. The author advances a critique of the use of traditional models and then develops an alternative model of decision making under uncertainty, based on the work of George Shackle.

Their book is rich with practical examples, including three extensive case studies that illustrate the complexities and contestations of environmental decision-making.

The book is aimed at the ever-widening range of people who are, or are hoping to become, environmental professionals, whether from the scientific, technical or social science.

Explores methods for the representation and treatment of uncertainty in risk assessment. In providing guidance for practical decision-making situations concerning high-consequence technologies (e.g., nuclear, oil and gas, transport, etc.), the theories and methods studied in Uncertainty in Risk Assessment have wide-ranging applications from engineering and medicine to environmental impacts and.

Get this from a library. Uncertainty and environmental decision making: a handbook of research and best practice.

[Jerzy A Filar; A Haurie;] -- Presents the state of the art in applying operations research and management science (OR/MS) techniques to a broad range of environmental decision making (EDM) challenges.

Drawing on leading. the book suggests that, in their eyes, there is no precise definition of uncertainty and therefore no precise solution.

Some see the task of managing uncertainty as no more than an extension of financial risk management, entailing the need for financial “buffers” brought about by greater Size: KB. addressing uncertainty in decision making. The sources of uncertainty in decision making are discussed, emphasizing the distinction between uncertainty and risk, and the characterization of uncertainty and risk.

The report provides a brief overview of decision theory and presents a practical method for modeling decisions under uncertainty and Cited by: 7. Measurement Uncertainty in Decision-Making: How to Take Reliable Decisions under Uncertainty: /ch In this paper, the authors examine a common issue concerning the influence of measurement uncertainty on decisions.

In fact, in some practical applicationsCited by: 2. Downloadable (with restrictions). Environmental decision-making is extremely complex due to the intricacy of the systems considered and the competing interests of multiple stakeholders.

Additional research is needed to acquire further knowledge and understanding of different types of uncertainty (e.g., knowledge, variability, decision, and linguistic uncertainty) inherent in environmental Cited by: Contemporary environmental decisions are made within the context of sustainability aimed at meeting integrated ecological, economic and social goals.

Most involve a complex mix of actors and institutions - differing values and differing interests. Choices are difficult and often controversial, and decision-making processes and contexts provide crucial influences on outcomes.

This book explores. @article{osti_, title = {Decision making, risk assessment, and uncertainty analysis in environmental management}, author = {Bonano, E J}, abstractNote = {Environmental management involves making decisions that will lead to the solution of environmental restoration and waste management (ER/WM) problems.

Not only are ER/WM problems technologically challenging, but they. IIE/Joint Publishers Book of the Year Award. Awarded for an outstanding published book that focuses on a facet of industrial engineering, improves education, or furthers the profession.

Engineering Decision Making and Risk Management emphasizes practical issues and examples of decision making with applications in engineering design and managementFeaturing a blend of theoretical and. models are critical to regulatory decision making because the spatial and temporal scales linking environmental controls and environmental quality generally do not allow for an observational approach to understand the relationship between economic activity and environmental quality (NRC ).

Models. The precautionary principle puts forward the 'commonsense' notion that decision-makers should be cautious when assessing potential health or environmental harms in the absence of the full scientific facts.

It is now a well-established tenet of environmental law. The debate has turned to its legal implementation, especially its application 'in practice'. communicating uncertainty information for climate change decision making, one of 21 climate change assessment products that the program is developing to meet the requirements of the Global Change Research Act.

Models in Environmental Regulatory Decision Making (DELS ) Many regulations issued by the U.S. Environmental.

The text presents environmental problems and, whenever applicable, the methodology required to reach a successful solution. Decisions and policies are examined. The book covers numerous objective and subjective components of environmental risk decision making.

Decision making under risk and uncertainty and its application in strategic management Article (PDF Available) in Journal of Business Economics and Management 16(1) January with Author: Jose M. Merigo. There is uncertainty about the sources of problems—or whether there is a problem at all. I use risk analysis to describe a general approach to using risk in environmental decision making.

I use risk assessment to describe the specific practice of studying and presenting quantitatively the harm that different substances, activities, or. In this study, we introduce a robust linear programming approach for water and environmental decision-making under uncertainty.

This approach is of significant practical utility to decision makers for obtaining reliable and robust management decisions that are “immune” to the uncertainty attributable to data perturbations.

The immunization guarantees that the chosen robust management plan Cited by: and techniques for decision making under uncertainty.

This book will be relevant to environmental modellers, practitioners and decision makers in hydrology, hydraulics, ecology, meteorology and oceanography, geomorphology, geochemistry, soil science, pollutant transport and climate change.

Decision making involves the selection of one of the alternatives available. A decision taken at present will have effect in future.

A decision-maker tries to visualize the conditions in future and take decisions accordingly. So decisions are made in an environment of at least some uncertainty. There are certain risks involved in decision. Certainty Equivalent More generally, consider situation in which have Uncertainty with respect to consequence c Non-linear preference function f Note: E[X] is the mean (expected value) operator The mean outcomeoutcome of uncertain investment c is of uncertain investment c is E[c] In example, this was.5*$20,+.5*$0=$10, The mean satisfaction withsatisfaction with the investment is E[f(cE File Size: KB.

The Precautionary Principle in Practice - Environmental decision-making and scientific uncertainty focuses on these issues.

It considers how decision-makers can assess threats to health or the environment when the available scientific evidence is sparse and discusses the types of ‘uncertainties’ that bring the precautionary principle into play.

Chapter 2: The Decision Context Two Orientations: Theoretical or Practical. Decisions in Environmental Conflict Situations Most Environmental Problems Are Wicked Strategies for Living with Uncertainty Chapter 3: A Brief Philosophy of Adaptive Ecosystem Management The Case against Computation   “The book, Modeling Uncertainty in the Earth Sciences, can be of great use for anyone involved with making decisions in Earth sciences.

It gives a solid overview on how decisions in Earth Science can be improved by explicit uncertainty modeling.” (Environmental Earth Science, 1.

Written from an Australian perspective, the Precautionary Principle in Practice - Environmental decision-making and scientific uncertainty focuses on these issues.

It considers how decision-makers can assess threats to health or the environment when the available scientific evidence is sparse and discusses the types of `uncertainties' that.

Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Theory and Application [Bookshelf] Abstract: The unmanned air vehicles and self-driving cars of the future will require a high degree of autonomy.

Not only will they need feedback loops that are conducive to a wide variety of environmental conditions, but they will also require higher levels of reasoning and Author: Randal W. Beard. Environmental water is often a contentious investment in the environment that must be delivered under uncertainty regarding the ecological and social benefits they deliver.

Adaptive management can be used to facilitate decision making under uncertainty, and use new knowledge and understanding to improve management decisions and outcomes over time.

“The book, Modeling Uncertainty in the Earth Sciences, can be of great use for anyone involved with making decisions in Earth sciences. It gives a solid overview on how decisions in Earth Science can be improved by explicit uncertainty modeling.” (Environmental Earth Science, 1 October ).

Nine lives of uncertainty in decision-making: strategies for dealing with uncertainty in environmental governance Art Dewulf and Robbert Biesbroek Public Administration and Policy group, Wageningen University and Research, Netherlands ABSTRACT Governing complex environmental issues involves intensive interac-tion between public and private by: 4.

This book explores some of the complexities of decision-making under risk and uncertainty in environmental and natural resource economics.

Risk and uncertainty are inherent problems for economists, and the authors in this volume offer numerous challenges and opportunities to improve the tools we use to assess these concepts.

The Environmental Uncertainty Principle. Paul Schwennesen Anyone who has ever been part of a group that "made" a decision knows full well that it is always just a few individuals who assert their will and make the decision and obtain the passive acquiescence of the rest, and then announce that a "consensus" exists, and then enforce that.

Uncertainty and Strategic Decision Making | Editors: Kristian J. Sund, Robert J. Galavan, Anne Sigismund Huff Advanced search Uncertainty and Strategic Decision Making. decision making under certainty, risk & uncertainty Explain the difference between decision-making under certainty, risk and uncertainty.

Decision making is a process of identifying problems and opportunities and choosing the best option among alternative courses of action for resolving them successfully.Uncertainty is virtually unavoidable in environmental impact assessments (EIAs).

From the literature related to treating and managing uncertainty, we have identified specific techniques for coping with uncertainty in EIAs.

Here, we have focused on basic steps in the decision-making process that take place within an EIA setting.